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Low Vaccination Rates Threaten Herd Immunity

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Got Breast Milk?

by Amy Spangler
June 01, 2010

Why should I vaccinate my children to protect others? Why should I put my children at risk so others are less likely to get sick? These and other questions reflect the ongoing controversy surrounding vaccines—a controversy that has prompted an ever-growing number of parents to forgo vaccinating their children and now threatens “herd immunity.”

Susan Van den Hoff was the first to identify herd immunity and how it affects the spread of infectious disease. In 2002, Van den Hoff found that unvaccinated people in a highly vaccinated community were less likely to get measles than vaccinated people in a community with low vaccination rates. The effectiveness of herd immunity in preventing the spread of a disease depends on several factors—the ability of the disease to spread, the number of people vaccinated or not, and the effectiveness of the vaccine itself.

How easily does the disease spread?
Some diseases, like measles, are highly contagious; others, less so. According to the Vaccine Education Center at The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia (CHOP), if 10 unprotected individuals got into an elevator with an individual with measles, 9 of the 10 would become infected with measles. Because the measles virus can stay in the air for up to two hours, other unprotected individuals who get on the elevator can become infected as well. Some diseases are highly contagious, such as chicken pox, but infection won’t occur unless there is direct contact with the virus. Experts at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) study family members or other individuals who come in contact with an infected person to determine how contagious a disease is and how easily it is spread.

How many people need to be vaccinated?
The number of people who need to be vaccinated depends on the level of contagiousness and ease of spreading. In the case of measles—a highly contagious disease that is easily spread—an extremely large number of people would need to be vaccinated before herd immunity would take effect. There are some individuals who cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons (individuals with allergies, cancer, or diseases of the immune system), and others who choose not to be vaccinated. The greater the number of unprotected individuals, the less likely the disease will be eradicated.

How effective is the vaccine?
Some vaccines require only a single dose and protect all who are vaccinated, while others require several doses. There are some individuals who never acquire immunity, and remain unprotected despite repeated doses. Although this is extremely rare. For vaccines that have been shown to be less effective, more people need to be vaccinated to make up for those who remain unprotected despite being vaccinated.

Join the herd
Immunization rates in the U.S. have been extremely high for many diseases such as measles, mumps, rubella, Haemophilus influenza type b (Hib), and polio. As a result, our communities have benefited greatly from herd immunity. Many diseases that were commonplace in the 1800s such as cholera, tetanus, and typhoid fever are rarely seen today. But concerns about the safety of vaccines, sparked in 1998 by the release of a study linking autism with the measles-mumps-rubella vaccine (a link that has since been shown to be false), have caused an increase in the number of unprotected individuals nationwide. There have been reports of outbreaks of measles, mumps, Haemophilus influenza, and pertussis (also known as whooping cough) in communities across the U.S. More measles cases were reported nationwide in 2008 than in any other year since 1997. And more than 90 percent of those infected had not been vaccinated, or their vaccination status was unknown. Earlier this year, more than 1,500 New York and New Jersey residents came down with the mumps—the largest outbreak since 2006.

Before you decide as a parent whether to have your child join the herd, educate yourself about vaccines—the benefits and the risks; seek out reliable sources of information such as the CDC and CHOP; discuss your concerns openly with your child’s doctor; and make an informed decision—the health of your child and the herd depend on it.

  • Mike

    Regarding your comment regarding the mumps outbreak of 1,500 people: 1,115 had a known vaccination status- “Of these patients, 976 (88%) had received at least 1 dose of mumps-containing vaccine before the outbreak, and 839 (75%) had received 2 doses.” Read that again.
    839 people out of 1,115 people were even vaccinated twice, 2 doses, and yet contracted the mumps anyway. Who thinks that is effective? Who thinks profits by the vaccine multinational companies are a factor in why you are vaccinated? Read for yourself…
    Update: Mumps Outbreak — New York and New Jersey, June 2009–January 2010

  • http://www.babygooroo.com Amy Spangler

    Thank you so much for your comment regarding the mumps outbreak. The fact that 75% of those infected had received 2 doses of the vaccine and 88% one dose, speaks to the ineffectiveness of the mumps vaccine among this particular population. Based on the theory of herd immunity, less effective vaccines require that even more individuals be vaccinated in an effort to control the spread of the disease. The high rate of mumps among this group of vaccinated individuals is causing the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to reexamine its recommendations regarding the mumps vaccine, particularly when an outbreak occurs. The challenge in the vaccine debate is assessing the risk/benefit ratio for specific vaccines and devising recommendations that best ensure protection for the greatest number of individuals.

    Profits by multinational companies have long been suggested as a factor in the widespread use of vaccines. Just last week the British Medical Journal accused the World Health Organization (WHO) of exaggerating the H1N1 threat, citing ties to drug makers. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/06/04/AR2010060403034.html. Hopefully, once the facts are fully revealed, the public health efforts of many will not be overshadowed by the greed of a few.

  • http://babygooroo.com/2011/02/benefits-of-childhood-vaccines/ Benefits Of Childhood Vaccines | baby gooroo

    [...] vaccinated or who can’t be vaccinated due to health reasons are protected by what’s known as herd immunity. Essentially, with so many people vaccinated, the entire population is less likely to get the [...]

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